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每日汇评:2016年7月11日

1人民币(CNY=2.1643 兰特ZAR

1美元(USD=14.4764 兰特ZAR)

1美元(USD=6.6895 人民币CNY


兰特周一兑美元持稳。美国劳工部上周五公布的数据显示,美国6月非农就业人数增加28.7万人,远超市场预期增加18万人,为去年10月来最大增幅。美国6月份失业率为4.9%,预期为4.8%,前值为4.7%。本次非农录得去年10月以来最大月度增幅,因制造业就业人数增加,为美国经济已从第一季度颓势中恢复提供更多证据。失业率有所上升是因为涌入就业市场的人数增加,反而佐证就业市场信心强劲;但鉴于薪资增长仍然疲弱,预计美联储对于加息仍将保持谨慎。

人民币兑美元周一微升,中间价同样小幅调升。上周五非农数据公布后,金融市场出现剧烈波动,美元指数一度触及96.69日高,但之后迅速下挫至95.82;虽然就业人数表现强劲,但美联储仍将对利率持谨慎态度,预计后市人民币短期贬值空间有限。

The Rand was steady against the US dollar on Monday.  US Labour Department data released on Friday showed the US nonfarm payrolls increased by 287,000 in June, much more than 180,000  estimated by the market,  And it is the largest increase from October last year. The US the unemployment rate was 4.9% in June, expected 4.8%, the previous is 4.7%. The non-farm recorded the largest monthly increase since October last year, due to manufacturing employment increased.  It provided more evidence for recovery from the decline of the US economy in the first quarter. The unemployment rate has increased because of the increased number of people into the job market, evident a strong employment market confidence. But in consideration of wage growth remains weak, the Fed will be cautious to raise interest rates.

The CNY edged up against the US dollar on Monday and the reference rate also slightly rose. After Friday"s non-farm payrolls released, financial markets strongly shocked. The US dollar index hit highest level of 96.69 intraday, but then quickly fell to 95.82. Although employment was strong, the Fed will remain cautious on interest rates. The CNY is expected to devalue limitedly in short term.

 

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